TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Heat vs. Suns: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under51c40,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,599.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c30,019$15,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,009.932,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c23,888$11,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,704.91,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c20,047$10,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,856.0316752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c14,794$7,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,262.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c12,807$6,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,294.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under50c12,425$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,212.6819954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Over50c4,990$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.9911252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c4,198$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over52c3,919$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.8135747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c2,687$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.52,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00052052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c1,177$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.712,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c1,098$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c869.95$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.973,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under49c770$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.922138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under50c680.34$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1711048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Under73c645.88$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.283357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c500.2$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c374$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fe…b52dbacked Over11c299.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick19cpaid+215%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over49c259.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.424955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Under51c248.14$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.597060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under51c200.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7710659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under51c176.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.75152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under54c158.81$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.311752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under50c151$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over53c150.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over50c149.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over52c129.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6722655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Under51c127.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4512652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c124.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.982,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.537652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54cb…baddbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under51c93.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.846055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over52c80.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5131155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.614751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Under51c78.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2811755.6%65 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over15c74.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1323047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Under51c73.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.236055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe52f…db16backed Under51c73.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.813658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under51c72.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.426448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under51c67.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7412752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8868940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Under51c64.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.469753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under51c56.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.478653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110d…cd01backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534556.2%194 W · 151 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Under51c49.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.417650%38 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.023661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Under51c47.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under51c43.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3220149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over52c42.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.347145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f0f…956fbacked Under51c41.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.373161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4643647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under50c38.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1952246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeba…d2d8backed Under51c35.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.767648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x862d…bc9bbacked Under51c34.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.817047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd70…843ebacked Under51c31.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Under48c31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1216852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccbf…b43cbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe56a…9ef1backed Over49c29.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc440…922ebacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412650%13 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Under52c28.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5116343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c26.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2962844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Under51c23.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.588050%40 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd16b…0579backed Under51c22.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over52c22.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9219748.2%95 W · 102 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under50c22.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1811051.8%57 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…0bb5backed Over50c21.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4422…4284backed Over50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over54c20.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddc…0dcabacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.