NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e7934fd981f54717a3d924013a9f083f854a38842e6b5cf018efa192f42706a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 47c | 8,898$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.22 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 7,221$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,014$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.43 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,350$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,148$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 1,073$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.46 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 812.57$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 45c | 733.63$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.31 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 636.2$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 49c | 616.08$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.28 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 56c | 584.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.39 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 524.1$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.62 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 68c | 440.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 440.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 438.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 54c | 385.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…28d6backed Over | 80c | 345.72$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 33c | 308.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 55c | 292.32$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 10c | 271$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Over | 47c | 257$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 228$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 212.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Over | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 19cpaid | +215%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 53c | 159.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Under | 70c | 144.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 142.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 142.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over | 49c | 140.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 60c | 83.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 45c | 72.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Under | 55c | 72.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 39c | 63.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…5cccbacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 50c | 53.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 59c | 51.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 45c | 43.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 37.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 43c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 27.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…1d08backed Over | 47c | 27.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…575abacked Under | 55c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 53c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Under | 58c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 77c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. BullsBulls won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.