NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x355e5bf7cd5897c624b1085f69be39cff7302da70f376a4f3216f7aaa45c3f8b

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xece7…6979backed Over	53c	4,460$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.06	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…9e40backed Under	49c	2,670$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,361.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eed…9c7fbacked Over	51c	2,623$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…369bbacked Under	49c	2,423$1,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.73	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Over	53c	2,396$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.04	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbef1…65a7backed Under	49c	2,233$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca5…d245backed Under	49c	2,215$1,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e6…d2bfbacked Over	51c	2,212$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7da1…6572backed Over	51c	2,212$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fe…b5cebacked Under	49c	2,149$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec0…153bbacked Under	49c	2,125$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.75	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73be…6786backed Over	51c	2,103$1,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	48c	2,026$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.61	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0170…8945backed Under	49c	1,932$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.32	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5000…4834backed Over	51c	1,808$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.08	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	47c	1,660$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.85	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	28c	1,653$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.6	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	50c	1,306$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	45c	1,118$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.7	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under	50c	1,117$559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.5	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under	45c	839.98$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.29	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…172ebacked Over	51c	822$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab37…d4e5backed Over	51c	811$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-60%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8641…66a9backed Over	51c	802$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70a0…cc4bbacked Over	51c	801$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9080…d00abacked Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe07…c67fbacked Over	51c	799$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.49	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	47c	792$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.76	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	51c	674$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.84	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x500d…560cbacked Over	51c	606$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.06	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	47c	569.6$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.16	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over	53c	566.99$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.51	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	53c	550$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.29	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	47c	457$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.78	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc2…fd70backed Over	51c	441$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under	51c	391.02$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.02	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	48c	391$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.07	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	375.27$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.39	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over	50c	312.54$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.27	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Under	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	62c	294.21$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.73	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6a…779ebacked Under	49c	293$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	45c	261.85$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.01	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	40c	214.88$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.67	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under	31c	214$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.66	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d2…78bcbacked Over	48c	208.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under	51c	199.98$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.99	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	50c	190$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under	50c	169.68$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.84	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Over	43c	162.75$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.76	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	58c	160.74$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.61	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under	49c	153.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.92	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb482…e3ecbacked Under	51c	150.27$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.63	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over	70c	142.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	56c	139.86$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.32	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	50c	137.27$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.06	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea6…0d45backed Over	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0925…462cbacked Under	47c	105.3$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.81	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over	75c	103.69$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.77	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	66cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	54c	101.85$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	555	33.5%186 W · 369 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1d…5c72backed Under	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	171	42.7%73 W · 98 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca5…85edbacked Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…777bbacked Under	50c	97.02$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.51	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	33c	92.11$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Over	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	40c	90$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	27c	89.43$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.96	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75f…6960backed Over	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	165	49.7%82 W · 83 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under	45c	68$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…5b70backed Over	52c	67.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b9…d090backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3b…a163backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over	50c	59.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	42c	56.03$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df3…ff6cbacked Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b96…7701backed Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6313…a6bdbacked Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Over	51c	49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Under	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…306bbacked Over	52c	47.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c5…20abbacked Over	49c	46.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30e…b2f1backed Under	57c	44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.92	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Under	50c	42.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6e…5741backed Over	54c	42.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.7wins	-0.25per pick	51cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ce…5ce8backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over	49c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-0.5)Celtics won
Celtics vs. BullsBulls won
Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Bulls won
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Bulls won
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Bulls won
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Bulls won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event