NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f940e1e6916fe05fd0404f222426dcf50dd5d02423cdefc41d990028c24335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Celtics, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 48c | 123,746$59,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,372.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 52c | 84,183$43,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,775.31 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Celtics | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.97 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics | 53c | 30,204$16,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,102.8 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bulls | 48c | 27,600$13,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,352 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 47c | 20,413$9,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,768.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Celtics | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 51c | 14,055$7,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,167.82 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 49c | 12,081$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Celtics | 53c | 7,784$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.36 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 48c | 4,514$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 46c | 2,910$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 52c | 2,319$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.81 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 48c | 2,220$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,812$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.64 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bulls | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.97 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Bulls | 50c | 1,354$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 52c | 1,305$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,130$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.8 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.11 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Celtics | 50c | 837.25$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Celtics | 52c | 768$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 51c | 749$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls | 47c | 715$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Bulls | 48c | 690.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.28 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Celtics | 46c | 651.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 50c | 637.25$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 46c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Celtics | 53c | 599.95$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Celtics | 50c | 530.69$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.2 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bulls | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Bulls | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 52c | 421.34$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.1 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Celtics | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Bulls | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 47c | 303.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Bulls | 51c | 291.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Celtics | 54c | 288.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Bulls | 46c | 219.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Bulls | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Bulls | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 48c | 202.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Celtics | 51c | 175.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bulls | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Celtics | 51c | 152.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 47c | 131.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Bulls | 49c | 120.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bulls | 49c | 107.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Bulls | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Bulls | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bulls | 46c | 99.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Celtics | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Celtics | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…8fe0backed Celtics | 53c | 91.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Bulls | 48c | 86.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Celtics | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Celtics | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Bulls | 49c | 62.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 51c | 58.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Celtics | 46c | 58.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Celtics | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 46c | 50.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bulls | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Celtics | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Celtics | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked Celtics | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 53c | 41.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Bulls | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Bulls | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Bulls | 46c | 37.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…7c70backed Celtics | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Celtics | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Celtics | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Bulls | 47c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Bulls | 48c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…29c2backed Bulls | 47c | 27.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…79a8backed Bulls | 48c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Bulls | 47c | 26.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…1425backed Bulls | 46c | 24.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -8.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Celtics | 52c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Celtics | 51c | 23.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Celtics | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Bulls | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Bulls | 52c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…8707backed Celtics | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Celtics | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-0.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. BullsBulls won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.