TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Celtics, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$299,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls52c53,051$27,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,464.61,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Bulls52c46,637$24,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,389.460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Celtics48c45,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics48c43,815$21,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,158.762,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics48c41,667$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics50c29,965$14,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,842.3621057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls51c25,349$12,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,421.171,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564f…1795backed Bulls52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Bulls52c14,000$7,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,771.2710949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Celtics48c10,545$5,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,061.7212454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Celtics48c7,777$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.9614753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics49c7,641$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,745.154,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Celtics51c6,580$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.835747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics49c5,820$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,851.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics48c5,800$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Celtics49c5,090$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49426949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Celtics49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Bulls59c4,889$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.8228554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Bulls52c4,752$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.164052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Celtics56c3,573$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls44c3,492$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.684,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Celtics50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls52c2,137$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.541,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Celtics49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Bulls61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78095641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef04…9ef0backed Celtics42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics47c1,984$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bulls50c1,818$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.142,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Bulls52c1,488$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.4142648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls61c1,429$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Celtics38c1,399$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Bulls51c1,236$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1214346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Bulls49c1,097$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.341,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc27e…f360backed Celtics40c990$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0bc…b5c9backed Celtics42c970$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls50c960$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Celtics48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43219350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics47c885.37$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.279,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls52c810.67$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.363,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls50c780.77$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.381,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Celtics10c761$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.092,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls49c635$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.712,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls49c627.86$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls50c600$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3034,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Bulls52c577.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4735942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics50c545.25$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.173,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Bulls52c505.05$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Bulls50c492.43$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.3319135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81c2…5ca2backed Bulls61c430$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.72560%15 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Celtics39c430$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.72040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Celtics48c423$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Celtics49c420$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.82825%7 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3151…c311backed Bulls60c390$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Bulls52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.624645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Bulls53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3636143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Bulls53c377.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafdc…025cbacked Bulls58c375$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbccb…4c18backed Bulls60c345$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Celtics40c339$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.628751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Bulls53c319.32$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0827943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x838b…4c8abacked Bulls58c310$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1248546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…3ba3backed Bulls58c285$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Celtics49c284.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6520651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Bulls73c274.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7932952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics42c256$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.391,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7165…62efbacked Bulls60c255$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bulls52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bulls58c240.01$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Celtics42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics41c234.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.843,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics48c219.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Bulls58c217.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.225650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics49c206.18$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0392750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Bulls51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Celtics49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Bulls51c199.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9978652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Celtics21c179.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1724846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Celtics46c172.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.11,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b1…0436backed Bulls61c165.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.572536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Celtics48c162.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7910953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Bulls62c162.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0833246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Bulls52c156.88$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.311150.5%56 W · 55 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Bulls62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5736854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Celtics60c145$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Celtics48c143.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9511849.2%58 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Celtics50c138.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6710046%46 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics47c132$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.593,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Bulls52c127.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0725144.2%111 W · 140 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Bulls42c117.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9839736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls52c116.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.922,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Celtics49c113.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6776250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Celtics49c110.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.196947.8%33 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Celtics50c107$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1241048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked Celtics48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016543.6%72 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Celtics48c102.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1611945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Celtics59c101$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.97150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Celtics58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bulls48c99.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…e2d7backed Celtics50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.