Tennis · resolved market
Zverev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5569ba6ad05407b6720fd45f9863258af2911528b4c90e2abc40d9d528f1c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 3,835$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 2,842$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.41 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 2,830$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.53 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 35c | 1,183$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 1,002$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…3152backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 799.67$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 798.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 714.29$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 441.27$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.27 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…3fd1backed Over 3.5 | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 351.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Over 3.5 | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 306.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…c0c3backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 288.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…fe09backed Over 3.5 | 64c | 257.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…1bf3backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 163.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 148.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under 3.5 | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under 3.5 | 36c | 96.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked Over 3.5 | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Over 3.5 | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under 3.5 | 33c | 61.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…29e8backed Over 3.5 | 67c | 61.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 39.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under 3.5 | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 29.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…a514backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over 3.5 | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…e2b1backed Over 3.5 | 63c | 15.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zverev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner TienZverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs TienZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)Tien won
- Zverev vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.