Tennis · resolved market
Zverev vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337349e7308d6cf8df23fd64c037a00c4b5741ba485c2b42a616d28a6a01faa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5565…6448backed Over | 50c | 2,450$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Under | 50c | 2,450$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Over | 53c | 1,786$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.73 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,282$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 504$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 437$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 53c | 86.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…e4cdbacked Over | 52c | 41.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zverev vs. Tien: Match O/U 38.5this page
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner TienZverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs TienZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)Tien won
- Zverev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.