Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39388b7f58485cda76696adf207182c40ea65bd44c8263c7acf52519f96aa3d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mensikof Mensik, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $447,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Quinn | 34c | 58,000$19,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,847.29 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Quinn | 29c | 30,000$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.83 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mensik | 67c | 29,615$19,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,772.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Mensik | 68c | 20,000$13,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.39 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mensik | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.97 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mensik | 77c | 17,092$13,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.84 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Quinn | 18c | 17,066$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Quinn | 13c | 16,669$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.38 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Mensik | 66c | 13,724$9,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.11 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Quinn | 30c | 13,424$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.13 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Quinn | 21c | 12,404$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.55 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Mensik | 79c | 8,890$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.96 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Mensik | 67c | 8,662$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.82 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mensik | 76c | 7,859$5,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.03 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Quinn | 33c | 7,454$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.46 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Mensik | 71c | 7,039$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.19 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Quinn | 33c | 6,669$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Quinn | 33c | 6,029$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mensik | 71c | 5,500$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Quinn | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Quinn | 12c | 4,954$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.77 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Mensik | 68c | 4,858$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.22 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mensik | 71c | 4,518$3,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.09 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Quinn | 29c | 4,444$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.76 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Quinn | 32c | 4,416$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.31 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Mensik | 70c | 3,354$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Quinn | 29c | 3,333$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Mensik | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Quinn | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Quinn | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Mensik | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Mensik | 72c | 2,569$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.44 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Mensik | 72c | 2,430$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.47 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Quinn | 21c | 2,400$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Mensik | 76c | 2,189$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Quinn | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Mensik | 68c | 1,863$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.21 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Quinn | 31c | 1,610$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.1 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Quinn | 30c | 1,519$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.5 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Mensik | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Quinn | 25c | 1,387$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.59 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Mensik | 67c | 1,375$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mensik | 72c | 1,366$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Mensik | 69c | 1,246$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.38 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Mensik | 67c | 1,224$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Quinn | 29c | 1,210$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.9 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Quinn | 31c | 1,210$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked Mensik | 77c | 1,173$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mensik | 67c | 1,165$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.67 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…dd99backed Mensik | 68c | 1,154$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Mensik | 67c | 1,149$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Quinn | 36c | 1,130$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.7 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Mensik | 76c | 1,081$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Quinn | 33c | 1,066$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Quinn | 33c | 1,043$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.19 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Quinn | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mensik | 76c | 1,018$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Quinn | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mensik | 78c | 962$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Quinn | 24c | 925.93$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mensik | 79c | 895.08$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Quinn | 23c | 846.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Mensik | 67c | 827.63$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Quinn | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked Mensik | 74c | 774.22$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Quinn | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Quinn | 26c | 749.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8173…1054backed Quinn | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Quinn | 21c | 690$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Quinn | 33c | 684.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Quinn | 35c | 677.4$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…f5fcbacked Quinn | 31c | 645$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…58b5backed Quinn | 30c | 577.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Mensik | 70c | 550$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Mensik | 80c | 525$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Quinn | 21c | 523.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mensik | 79c | 521.94$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Mensik | 72c | 509.71$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Mensik | 67c | 504.9$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mensik | 78c | 500.26$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Mensik | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Mensik | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Quinn | 14c | 500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Mensik | 67c | 498.51$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Quinn | 17c | 487.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Quinn | 25c | 483.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Mensik | 71c | 444$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…5394backed Quinn | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Mensik | 66c | 422.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mensik | 73c | 401$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mensik | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Mensik | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Quinn | 30c | 400$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Quinn | 20c | 397.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Mensik | 67c | 384.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Mensik | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Mensik | 67c | 351.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 588 | 59%347 W · 241 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5804…dc41backed Mensik | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Quinn | 30c | 350$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Mensik | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnthis page
- Mensik vs. Quinn: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Mensik vs. Quinn: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Mensik vs. Quinn: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)Mensik won
- Set Handicap: Mensik (-2.5) vs Quinn (+2.5)Mensik won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.