UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c3048bc48eff80070c4ce5bcc4cd07f409d409e0be161750307246f286952c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ofliof Yizha, Ofli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yizha | 70c | 111,703$77,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,909.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ofli | 31c | 87,147$26,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,270.02 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yizha | 68c | 68,651$46,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,595.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Ofli | 31c | 60,734$18,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,187.16 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Yizha | 70c | 50,005$35,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,003.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yizha | 69c | 44,524$30,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,721.27 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Ofli | 32c | 30,300$9,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,604 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ofli | 31c | 14,110$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,715.62 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ofli | 30c | 13,253$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,311.98 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Ofli | 29c | 11,914$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,462.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ofli | 12c | 11,328$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,989.93 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Ofli | 64c | 10,713$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.9 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ofli | 30c | 8,612$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,040.21 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Ofli | 42c | 7,880$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.66 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Yizha | 34c | 7,874$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.88 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Ofli | 30c | 7,062$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yizha | 72c | 5,475$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.89 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ofli | 30c | 4,170$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.91 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Ofli | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ofli | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yizha | 67c | 3,828$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.25 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Ofli | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Ofli | 31c | 3,327$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.43 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Ofli | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ofli | 44c | 2,636$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.56 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Ofli | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Yizha | 60c | 2,181$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.25 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Ofli | 31c | 2,050$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.49 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Ofli | 33c | 1,967$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yizha | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Ofli | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yizha | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yizha | 79c | 1,405$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.79 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Yizha | 3c | 1,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ofli | 5c | 1,367$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.47 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ofli | 8c | 1,349$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.14 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Yizha | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Ofli | 35c | 1,237$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.33 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ofli | 29c | 1,066$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…2301backed Ofli | 19c | 1,061$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.29 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Yizha | 68c | 1,058$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ofli | 24c | 1,050$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.94 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ofli | 27c | 1,046$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.27 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ofli | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Ofli | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Ofli | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Ofli | 31c | 908.39$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.74 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Ofli | 38c | 888.45$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.45 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…2e0bbacked Ofli | 33c | 821.48$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Ofli | 30c | 816.75$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.75 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Ofli | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ofli | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…08e6backed Yizha | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Ofli | 8c | 733.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.54 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Ofli | 30c | 730.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.46 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Ofli | 36c | 700$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Yizha | 64c | 670$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Ofli | 31c | 608.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ofli | 34c | 580.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Ofli | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Ofli | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Yizha | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Ofli | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.47 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ofli | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Ofli | 31c | 440$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…7eebbacked Yizha | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Yizha | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ofli | 32c | 427.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Ofli | 30c | 377.52$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.26 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yizha | 72c | 358.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…1ed0backed Yizha | 69c | 355.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yizha | 61c | 351.03$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yizha | 76c | 346.97$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Ofli | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Ofli | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Ofli | 31c | 328.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Ofli | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ofli | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb591…aba5backed Ofli | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Ofli | 47c | 308.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…2926backed Yizha | 55c | 299.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Ofli | 26c | 297.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Ofli | 34c | 296.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Ofli | 31c | 295.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Ofli | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…f14cbacked Yizha | 70c | 285.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Ofli | 7c | 271$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.03 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ofli | 8c | 266.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Ofli | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ofli | 26c | 257.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4d9abacked Ofli | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Ofli | 4c | 248.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Ofli | 32c | 237.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yizha | 69c | 233.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Yizha | 79c | 227.82$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yizha | 68c | 221$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Yizha | 67c | 220$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yizha | 69c | 215.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yizha | 70c | 214.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0610…5d4dbacked Ofli | 10c | 208.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Yizha vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Yizha win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.