Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Elsa Jacquemot vs Marta Kostyuk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462b33816290277be712192e9fb47e3ab9ce6953e02d20dc24f80bafa2b30e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacquemotof Jacquemot, Kostyuk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kostyuk | 42c | 14,369$6,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.47 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kostyuk | 67c | 8,650$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.91 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jacquemot | 35c | 6,987$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.94 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jacquemot | 24c | 4,348$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.79 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jacquemot | 34c | 3,490$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.83 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kostyuk | 1c | 3,272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kostyuk | 73c | 2,979$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jacquemot | 68c | 2,515$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.2 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jacquemot | 20c | 1,999$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.57 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacquemot | 46c | 1,488$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.92 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Jacquemot | 31c | 1,451$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.48 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Kostyuk | 45c | 1,376$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.28 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Jacquemot | 7c | 1,250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.51 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Jacquemot | 65c | 1,206$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.98 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Jacquemot | 26c | 1,035$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.93 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jacquemot | 52c | 974.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.28 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Kostyuk | 41c | 778.7$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.7 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Jacquemot | 79c | 724.47$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Kostyuk | 21c | 714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kostyuk | 80c | 655.04$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.96 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Jacquemot | 44c | 575.25$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.19 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Jacquemot | 9c | 508$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.28 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kostyuk | 70c | 433.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.25 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Jacquemot | 72c | 293$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Jacquemot | 51c | 278.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Jacquemot | 56c | 274.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Jacquemot | 19c | 267.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jacquemot | 64c | 266.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kostyuk | 79c | 253.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Jacquemot | 39c | 247.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Jacquemot | 9c | 201.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.79 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Jacquemot | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Jacquemot | 14c | 200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Kostyuk | 47c | 192.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Kostyuk | 54c | 185.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Jacquemot | 66c | 182.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Kostyuk | 14c | 161.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Jacquemot | 30c | 145.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Kostyuk | 60c | 142.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Jacquemot | 72c | 119.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jacquemot | 49c | 113.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jacquemot | 32c | 112.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Kostyuk | 59c | 101.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Kostyuk | 62c | 101$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Kostyuk | 74c | 100.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Kostyuk | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Kostyuk | 67c | 80.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Kostyuk | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Jacquemot | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Kostyuk | 59c | 66.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Kostyuk | 59c | 56.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Jacquemot | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Jacquemot | 46c | 40.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Kostyuk | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Jacquemot | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Jacquemot | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Kostyuk | 61c | 27.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…80c0backed Jacquemot | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Elsa Jacquemot vs Marta Kostyukthis page
- Jacquemot vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jacquemot vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Jacquemot vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Jacquemot vs. Kostyuk: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jacquemot vs KostyukKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)Jacquemot won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.