NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58fc318460ff83429b4cc5530ecd619bdcf7beabdeac94acbaa8af99bd9ea61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Timberwolves, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls | 51c | 65,518$33,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,804.1 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 59,475$28,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,357.97 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.93 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Bulls | 53c | 45,930$24,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,691.09 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Bulls | 51c | 43,316$22,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,225.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 17,607$8,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,267.68 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 13,924$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,637.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Bulls | 54c | 10,818$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.14 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Timberwolves | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 8,542$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bulls | 52c | 8,222$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.33 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 53c | 7,792$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.36 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 5,683$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,942$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.28 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,908$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.82 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bulls | 52c | 4,800$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Bulls | 53c | 3,431$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.19 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Bulls | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,607$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,485$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.96 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Timberwolves | 49c | 2,401$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.49 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,259$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls | 52c | 2,169$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.23 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bulls | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,452$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,316$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Bulls | 50c | 1,304$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.15 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 50c | 1,176$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,102$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,048$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,026$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 46c | 874.63$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Bulls | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…9851backed Bulls | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 51c | 760.96$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Timberwolves | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Bulls | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Timberwolves | 46c | 557.53$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 515$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 434.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves | 49c | 406.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bulls | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 60c | 391.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Bulls | 52c | 384.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 376.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Bulls | 52c | 303.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bulls | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Timberwolves | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Timberwolves | 50c | 288$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd2…bd5cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 279$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…4293backed Timberwolves | 50c | 256$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Bulls | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 245.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.74 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…ce81backed Timberwolves | 50c | 241$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Bulls | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Timberwolves | 24c | 212.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Timberwolves | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Timberwolves | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Bulls | 52c | 192.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b1…0436backed Bulls | 51c | 188.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 48c | 183.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bulls | 56c | 162.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Bulls | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Bulls | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 144.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Bulls | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Bulls | 52c | 113.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Bulls | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Bulls | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Timberwolves | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…1f0cbacked Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Bulls | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Bulls | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bulls | 50c | 85.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Bulls | 52c | 78.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Bulls | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Bulls | 51c | 70.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Bulls | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)this page
- Bulls vs. TimberwolvesBulls won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Under won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.