NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8cecf6f37a11751e2ac87831b0c30e174041f2adeec28082383e3fb71e7702a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Under | 54c | 11,825$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.29 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 11,335$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 7,033$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 5,783$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.23 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 4,207$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.6 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 3,039$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 2,816$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 2,016$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 47c | 2,011$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 1,608$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,156$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 991.67$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 923.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 822$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 47c | 812.77$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Over | 51c | 727.45$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 46c | 635.11$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 631.33$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 610$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.24 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 603.78$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 520.21$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.34 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 511.8$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.52 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 505.11$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 51c | 489$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Under | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 383$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 314.2$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 53c | 280.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 262$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 21c | 208.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 207.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 162.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 51c | 127.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Over | 69c | 113.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 44c | 92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 74.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 73.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…74bcbacked Over | 51c | 62.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 53c | 57.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Over | 46c | 50.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 48c | 47.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…3db0backed Under | 43c | 46.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…e59ebacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…f491backed Over | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae66backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 55c | 26.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 66c | 21.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…24d2backed Over | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5this page
- Bulls vs. TimberwolvesBulls won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Under won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.