NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525807105ea4e0bf3ecdd0848365ef034d77047cb8800ea5ad42923741892fd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 47c | 6,767$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.47 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 5,609$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 5,406$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 4,534$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 4,439$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 55c | 3,040$1,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 2,727$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.26 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 1,697$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 966.6$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.74 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 55c | 514.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 484.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 51c | 389.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 50c | 337.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 227.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 200.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 161$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 56c | 90.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 47c | 90.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…a6babacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 70.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed Under | 42c | 48.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 46c | 45.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…adb6backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Under | 57c | 37.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 36.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…c052backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Over | 55c | 27.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 23.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Under | 53c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 63c | 19.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5this page
- Bulls vs. TimberwolvesBulls won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.