NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f071172e461edf46a19b4e5c06b66c19da1b748b3a865050c241484dfb67ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 53c | 21,095$11,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,914.78 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 11,895$5,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.3 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 51c | 9,584$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 8,429$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.26 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 7,600$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 7,195$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 51c | 5,232$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.75 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,081$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.4 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 5,049$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 4,929$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 47c | 4,862$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 2,499$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 48c | 2,435$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.16 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 6c | 2,083$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 47c | 2,002$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,961$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.78 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 49c | 1,818$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.82 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 1,506$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 1,371$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.97 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Over | 47c | 872.34$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 732$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 52c | 493.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 468.84$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 375$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 56c | 361$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 44c | 336$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 51c | 330$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 323.64$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 262.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 151.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 51c | 150.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…6e99backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 54c | 94.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 54c | 78.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 76.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 50c | 73.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…1e0cbacked Over | 49c | 51.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 50.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 47c | 50.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Over | 49c | 50.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…97f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 46.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -10.0wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Over | 49c | 27.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 49c | 22.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Luke Kornet: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. JazzSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.