Olympics · resolved market
Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5febf86bf158c54eb6a86d59ecd44582b3d059b78fda25b512f47c272dd2e17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed No | 54c | 611.9$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 46c | 513.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 40c | 467.66$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 60c | 351.64$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Yes | 54c | 306.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…54f6backed Yes | 61c | 164.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…c9eebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 46c | 94.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 52c | 63.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…b6fbbacked Yes | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 50c | 49.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Yes | 62c | 44.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed No | 57c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will William Dandjinou (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Daeheon Hwang (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Jens Van’t Wout (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Jongun Rim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Steven Dubois (CAN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating ST - Men's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.