Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf7b35cdd614129555beee33fe36a1e650a42732582839ba729a34336101e5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, Sri Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Pakistan | 73c | 4,130$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sri Lanka | 27c | 3,605$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.71 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Sri Lanka | 1c | 2,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Sri Lanka | 2c | 2,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Pakistan | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sri Lanka | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Sri Lanka | 40c | 1,493$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sri Lanka | 36c | 1,198$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.59 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sri Lanka | 31c | 987.51$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.69 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sri Lanka | 37c | 981.6$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sri Lanka | 2c | 904.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Sri Lanka | 5c | 830.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Pakistan | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed Pakistan | 76c | 660.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Sri Lanka | 8c | 636.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pakistan | 67c | 559.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Sri Lanka | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sri Lanka | 3c | 455.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed Sri Lanka | 9c | 450$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Sri Lanka | 33c | 360.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Pakistan | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc295…dde9backed Pakistan | 62c | 304.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Pakistan | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Pakistan | 68c | 272.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…d6e8backed Pakistan | 64c | 232.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…e74bbacked Pakistan | 65c | 213.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Pakistan | 71c | 201.26$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Pakistan | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9d00backed Sri Lanka | 17c | 180.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Sri Lanka | 33c | 158.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe023…61a6backed Pakistan | 64c | 155.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…56d4backed Pakistan | 64c | 155.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…859abacked Pakistan | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Sri Lanka | 7c | 149.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed Sri Lanka | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…5b93backed Sri Lanka | 27c | 134.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Pakistan | 66c | 129.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Sri Lanka | 34c | 104.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…ea7fbacked Pakistan | 75c | 95.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Pakistan | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Sri Lanka | 27c | 69.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Sri Lanka | 36c | 68.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…dc5abacked Sri Lanka | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…005dbacked Sri Lanka | 39c | 66.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Pakistan | 64c | 54.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Sri Lanka | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Pakistan | 66c | 51.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5fbdbacked Pakistan | 65c | 50.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Sri Lanka | 33c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…626dbacked Sri Lanka | 37c | 33.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Pakistan | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Pakistan | 75c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…03afbacked Pakistan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.