College Football · resolved market
Louisville vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da32bf7a21c9a1339042573ba4d82f62396191247e88b6f22b8d7ceff980601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof Louisville, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 39,255$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,255.14 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Louisville | 36c | 20,447$7,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,360.94 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Louisville | 18c | 13,115$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.66 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Louisville | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked SMU Mustangs | 59c | 6,489$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.47 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville | 26c | 5,826$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.71 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Louisville | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked SMU Mustangs | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 4,619$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.12 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Louisville | 35c | 4,132$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.93 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisville | 37c | 4,081$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.46 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville | 31c | 3,075$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.01 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed SMU Mustangs | 57c | 2,977$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisville | 16c | 2,870$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.93 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Louisville | 38c | 2,772$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.36 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Louisville | 37c | 2,325$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.25 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville | 30c | 2,314$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.28 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 2,083$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.68 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Louisville | 29c | 1,995$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.55 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Louisville | 39c | 1,789$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.67 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Louisville | 38c | 1,788$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.44 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed SMU Mustangs | 70c | 1,747$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.15 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Louisville | 37c | 1,554$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Louisville | 14c | 1,473$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed SMU Mustangs | 79c | 1,363$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…5dfcbacked SMU Mustangs | 63c | 1,349$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…9484backed Louisville | 6c | 1,338$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisville | 37c | 1,330$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.65 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…f3c7backed Louisville | 38c | 1,303$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 1,248$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.77 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Louisville | 38c | 1,056$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.12 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Louisville | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Louisville | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisville | 41c | 975.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.15 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Louisville | 38c | 969.18$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.29 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Louisville | 37c | 950$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Louisville | 38c | 937$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.69 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Louisville | 27c | 825.78$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Louisville | 21c | 824.27$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Louisville | 36c | 806.62$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.38 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 791.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 781.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Louisville | 36c | 762.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Louisville | 35c | 588.31$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 460.46$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…0312backed Louisville | 36c | 449.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…73acbacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 424.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…4d11backed Louisville | 38c | 421.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked SMU Mustangs | 54c | 371.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville | 37c | 348$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…e127backed Louisville | 37c | 345$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…f594backed Louisville | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Louisville | 27c | 301.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…60e0backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…849ebacked Louisville | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed SMU Mustangs | 72c | 299.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed SMU Mustangs | 69c | 295.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…b983backed Louisville | 36c | 289.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Louisville | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Louisville | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Louisville | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisville | 15c | 259.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…19bebacked SMU Mustangs | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed SMU Mustangs | 62c | 249.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…2927backed SMU Mustangs | 57c | 229.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 222$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 220.31$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisville | 6c | 218$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed SMU Mustangs | 58c | 217.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Louisville | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…6d44backed Louisville | 37c | 215$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Louisville | 36c | 205.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Louisville | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Louisville | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…c3a5backed Louisville | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…1375backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…5999backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea9…a015backed Louisville | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Louisville | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville | 25c | 195.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Louisville | 19c | 185.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…19ddbacked SMU Mustangs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Louisville | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Louisville | 37c | 154.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7235…d870backed Louisville | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…baf3backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8f3fbacked Louisville | 38c | 136.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Louisville | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked SMU Mustangs | 69c | 132.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 132$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked SMU Mustangs | 70c | 109.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Louisville | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Louisville | 23c | 107.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked SMU Mustangs | 71c | 105.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Louisville | 43c | 105.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Louisville | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Louisville vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 49.5Under won
- Louisville vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 50.5Under won
- Louisville vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5Under won
- Louisville vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 52.5Under won
- O/U 53.5Under won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-2.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-4.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.