Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Valerio Aboian vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16491aac0c59f41285f126f311e801997fe621d64f82a4a8a52c15b59f1fa07c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valerio Aboianof Valerio Aboian, Joao Eduardo Schiessl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 18c | 4,027$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.81 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Valerio Aboian | 28c | 1,554$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.32 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valerio Aboian | 59c | 1,281$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.76 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Valerio Aboian | 57c | 1,272$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.85 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valerio Aboian | 71c | 694.21$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 76c | 597.01$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.73 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 36c | 569.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.38 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 68c | 421.76$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.44 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 45c | 368.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.57 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 37c | 305.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Valerio Aboian | 45c | 303$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.08 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 12c | 240.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 58c | 233.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 55c | 214.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Valerio Aboian | 24c | 202.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 36c | 195$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 36c | 193.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 28c | 176.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Valerio Aboian | 44c | 169$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 31c | 159.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 46c | 111.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valerio Aboian | 55c | 97.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 36c | 84.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valerio Aboian | 57c | 81.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valerio Aboian | 65c | 78.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Valerio Aboian | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Valerio Aboian | 43c | 74.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valerio Aboian | 68c | 73.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Valerio Aboian | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 48c | 58.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 41c | 50.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 36c | 50.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Valerio Aboian | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…c77ebacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 70c | 42.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valerio Aboian | 30c | 39.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Valerio Aboian | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Valerio Aboian | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Valerio Aboian | 43c | 23.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 45c | 22.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 54c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion: Valerio Aboian vs Joao Eduardo Schiesslthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Aboian vs SchiesslAboian won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.