Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbb84467c7d00651f972d08403c62a04cbac004af7a9ee5636126263cc00c81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 63c | 3,123$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.26 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 2,480$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.09 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,343$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.81 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 38c | 475.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 359$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 342$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 338.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Yes | 78c | 105.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 77.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 46c | 44.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 64c | 23.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.