Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48eb1e9e04a62c3a10c248aa8318e387424fee2d56769f58e634212531138c7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.99 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 15,281$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.01 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 11,603$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.61 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 32c | 1,738$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,540$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.91 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,383$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 70c | 1,067$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 752.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 549.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 439.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 385.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 377.93$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.72 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 24c | 354.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 53c | 203.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 54c | 155$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 73c | 94.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 52c | 65.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 201 | 57.2%115 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Yes | 21c | 59.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…9ce1backed Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…99c8backed Yes | 48c | 23.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 66c | 18.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Oxford United FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.