TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Nebraska vs. Cincinnati

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nebraskaof Nebraska, Cincinnati
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Nebraska68c198,320$134,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,084.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Cincinnati33c151,508$49,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,997.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Cincinnati30c41,507$12,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,627.888149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cincinnati31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2008948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x712f…b93bbacked Cincinnati31c17,000$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,350425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nebraska67c14,037$9,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,625.1529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Cincinnati33c11,385$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nebraska68c9,997$6,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.923342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nebraska67c7,559$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.3720450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cincinnati28c6,528$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.6986243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Cincinnati28c5,761$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.542548%12 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Nebraska67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65011553%61 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Nebraska66c3,730$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.583850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cincinnati31c3,065$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.869843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Cincinnati31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9302330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nebraska72c2,566$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.2963243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Nebraska69c2,403$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.281540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Nebraska71c2,335$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.346541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cincinnati29c2,312$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.4449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Nebraska68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.997126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nebraska69c1,598$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.3640549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Cincinnati32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.91752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cincinnati31c1,532$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Nebraska80c1,506$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.774360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cincinnati31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46516747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nebraska67c1,350$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.0649253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nebraska69c1,243$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8610445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Nebraska64c1,156$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.3723751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Cincinnati18c1,106$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nebraska69c1,065$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.564841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Cincinnati30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4110242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Nebraska70c930.71$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.022653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cincinnati9c786$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.11360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Nebraska72c779.02$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Nebraska69c725.77$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9913845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cincinnati3c722$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.392370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Cincinnati32c710.22$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.275038%19 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Cincinnati24c658.79$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.71625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Nebraska70c637$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Nebraska74c539.81$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Nebraska74c537.3$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.333265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cincinnati31c520.46$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Nebraska67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.763351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Nebraska69c442.43$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.158078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Nebraska67c422$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2626147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Cincinnati24c410.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Cincinnati27c368.6$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.997414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Cincinnati25c357.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.362334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Cincinnati29c343.07$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cincinnati32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cincinnati32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cincinnati32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Cincinnati28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8450%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd956…ea37backed Nebraska72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Nebraska66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1024562.2%28 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8c40…ea3dbacked Cincinnati11c299.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Cincinnati27c292.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.092437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Nebraska71c291.65$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.651855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Cincinnati29c288.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1934529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Nebraska71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ac0…b10abacked Nebraska72c275.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.022259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Nebraska76c275.93$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.936170.5%43 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nebraska69c273.79$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8714945.6%68 W · 81 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Nebraska66c250$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d8b…c94dbacked Cincinnati24c225.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2440%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Cincinnati11c217.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Cincinnati30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cincinnati32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.949420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Cincinnati32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6442244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Nebraska70c199.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Nebraska75c194.67$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1712857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Cincinnati32c189.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.45738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Cincinnati18c180.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.262343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Nebraska70c171.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8414836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cincinnati31c161.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.219051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa555…2d6fbacked Cincinnati25c160.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…2a64backed Cincinnati23c157.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea3…0708backed Nebraska68c147.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Nebraska69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3583…fa7abacked Nebraska69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Nebraska70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…8ebcbacked Nebraska70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Nebraska78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Nebraska80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252075%15 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cincinnati30c105$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.520950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Cincinnati32c100.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Cincinnati31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Cincinnati32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Cincinnati31c99.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Nebraska70c96.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Cincinnati42c96.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016050%80 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…582cbacked Cincinnati25c88.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a6…d90cbacked Nebraska62c81.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3608…4048backed Nebraska70c78.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…eb7cbacked Cincinnati32c68.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Cincinnati32c65.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ce…c3c2backed Cincinnati32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…7911backed Cincinnati32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cincinnati32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick14cpaid-87.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Cincinnati36c58.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.