MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72c2d750b7ed70c5c5cba0542b14747db83536dec4c36839ce8db52b322a93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Brewers | 48c | 65,861$31,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,055.99 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Phillies | 52c | 28,860$15,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,007.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Phillies | 54c | 24,188$13,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,061.72 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 53c | 9,577$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.92 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 46c | 9,507$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Brewers | 65c | 8,888$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.36 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 46c | 7,991$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 23c | 7,637$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Phillies | 52c | 6,180$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.6 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 45c | 5,729$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.21 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.05 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Phillies | 53c | 5,055$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 51c | 4,779$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.11 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 26c | 3,302$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 45c | 3,075$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.1 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Phillies | 41c | 2,651$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Phillies | 55c | 2,641$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Phillies | 52c | 2,483$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.26 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 79c | 2,304$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 44c | 2,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Brewers | 47c | 2,186$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.75 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 63c | 2,008$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.91 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Phillies | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,991$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…03b2backed Brewers | 45c | 1,951$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,778$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.53 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Phillies | 38c | 1,708$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Phillies | 55c | 1,629$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 30c | 1,616$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.62 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers | 47c | 1,595$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.18 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Brewers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,477$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.46 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Brewers | 60c | 1,457$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.91 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Brewers | 70c | 1,428$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Phillies | 53c | 1,395$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.62 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Brewers | 77c | 1,297$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 34c | 1,150$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.5 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.12 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 46c | 1,068$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…9038backed Phillies | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 30c | 999.92$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.97 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…7718backed Phillies | 55c | 944$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Phillies | 30c | 939$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…cd1abacked Phillies | 55c | 933$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 40c | 916.26$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…0020backed Brewers | 45c | 916$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers | 47c | 905.97$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.17 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…a897backed Brewers | 45c | 884$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…7d8bbacked Phillies | 55c | 856$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 39c | 766.67$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Phillies | 40c | 711.06$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Brewers | 48c | 708.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 21c | 680$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Phillies | 54c | 660.28$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.07 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 4c | 650$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Phillies | 9c | 649.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Brewers | 43c | 603$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.71 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 57c | 580.59$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.93 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 31c | 565.82$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Brewers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Phillies | 56c | 499.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Phillies | 40c | 497.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Phillies | 48c | 475.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 5c | 449.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Brewers | 45c | 448.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Phillies | 26c | 448.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Phillies | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…7665backed Brewers | 48c | 437.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…084abacked Brewers | 45c | 406.53$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Brewers | 44c | 404.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2578…690ebacked Brewers | 46c | 404.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Phillies | 12c | 403.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…4faebacked Phillies | 56c | 380.23$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…941abacked Phillies | 55c | 367.22$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Phillies | 56c | 365.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdf…9127backed Phillies | 55c | 357.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Phillies | 53c | 349.6$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…9179backed Brewers | 48c | 346.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Phillies | 52c | 330.42$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5126…cf14backed Brewers | 48c | 324.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Phillies | 53c | 323.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 32c | 320$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…f07abacked Brewers | 46c | 318.83$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…8ff2backed Brewers | 48c | 316.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 32c | 310.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…fd6fbacked Phillies | 53c | 309.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Phillies | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Phillies | 44c | 299.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Phillies | 20c | 299.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…3738backed Phillies | 53c | 292.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Brewers | 71c | 283.33$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Brewers | 49c | 253.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Phillies | 52c | 251.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…4dd3backed Brewers | 47c | 238.29$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.