MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8afbed4d4583d1c723d729d7b3c2f86348a77db9c13edd3b9ed1d6bb01f06ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf773…4a03backed Cubs | 64c | 57,303$36,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,561.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…d6b0backed Reds | 36c | 48,912$17,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,303.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cubs | 59c | 22,020$12,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,991.95 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Cubs | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,799.95 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 36c | 17,756$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,315.54 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Reds | 41c | 12,036$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,101 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Cubs | 60c | 11,100$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Reds | 41c | 10,794$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…171fbacked Cubs | 61c | 9,998$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…1094backed Reds | 39c | 9,995$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 5c | 9,621$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Cubs | 60c | 7,400$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 40c | 7,400$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 71c | 6,739$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.67 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Cubs | 55c | 5,264$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 36c | 4,741$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.95 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Reds | 75c | 4,307$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…92f4backed Reds | 36c | 3,987$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 17c | 3,651$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 1c | 2,495$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cubs | 60c | 2,467$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.32 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 39c | 2,464$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.2 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…c8ecbacked Cubs | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Reds | 41c | 2,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Cubs | 38c | 2,365$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.65 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 39c | 2,286$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Cubs | 14c | 2,100$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbf…74e0backed Reds | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 1c | 2,050$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…3d75backed Reds | 39c | 2,026$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2b48backed Reds | 39c | 1,974$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 1c | 1,826$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Cubs | 14c | 1,800$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.12 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2ceebacked Reds | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…fed2backed Reds | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 3c | 1,674$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cubs | 38c | 1,588$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Reds | 41c | 1,566$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.13 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Cubs | 18c | 1,550$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 44c | 1,534$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.34 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Cubs | 2c | 1,525$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed Cubs | 28c | 1,500$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…dbdebacked Reds | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 65c | 1,320$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cubs | 5c | 1,150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a6…a9a1backed Cubs | 61c | 1,141$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…d2cbbacked Cubs | 61c | 1,115$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f1…f1a9backed Cubs | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…2c93backed Cubs | 61c | 1,024$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed Cubs | 1c | 1,015$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04be…a60bbacked Reds | 39c | 1,004$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Cubs | 61c | 985$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Reds | 67c | 969.9$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…7a7abacked Cubs | 61c | 950$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 38c | 947.17$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.25 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…8519backed Cubs | 19c | 915.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 14c | 914.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d6…3a8dbacked Cubs | 61c | 910$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Reds | 39c | 909.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 59c | 849.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Reds | 61c | 828.6$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Reds | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Cubs | 61c | 784.14$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.32 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a6…6db5backed Cubs | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 39c | 684.78$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.54 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 77c | 684.21$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Reds | 36c | 647.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 46c | 626.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.18 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 62c | 612.9$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 22c | 612.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Reds | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Cubs | 45c | 606.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Reds | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…2edabacked Cubs | 3c | 580$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Cubs | 61c | 564.93$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.25 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Cubs | 39c | 500$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Cubs | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Reds | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 38c | 499.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Reds | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 60c | 473.15$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 37c | 456.77$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.29 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Cubs | 43c | 417.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…492dbacked Cubs | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 39c | 389.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b83…f984backed Cubs | 14c | 384.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Reds | 37c | 354.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.21 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Cubs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Reds | 72c | 316.95$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cubs | 7c | 314.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 66c | 305.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 8c | 295.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Cubs | 58c | 241.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Reds | 61c | 206$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.