College Football · resolved market
Kennesaw State vs. Wake Forest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3ad322afd9421a9bf64a61400a3270fd3e20187b06e28d088df04892e7e575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof Kennesaw State, Wake Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 42,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 29,940$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Kennesaw State | 10c | 28,887$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.7 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Kennesaw State | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kennesaw State | 10c | 15,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 12,697$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.67 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Kennesaw State | 29c | 10,892$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Kennesaw State | 10c | 4,501$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.11 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kennesaw State | 12c | 3,050$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.96 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kennesaw State | 11c | 2,688$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kennesaw State | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Wake Forest | 75c | 1,975$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kennesaw State | 22c | 1,188$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Wake Forest | 71c | 1,066$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.35 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Kennesaw State | 14c | 1,030$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Kennesaw State | 23c | 906.49$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wake Forest | 79c | 756.99$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kennesaw State | 2c | 728$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…e1e4backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 657$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wake Forest | 75c | 550.44$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Kennesaw State | 20c | 499.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Kennesaw State | 25c | 475.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kennesaw State | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Kennesaw State | 10c | 392.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Kennesaw State | 15c | 389.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kennesaw State | 11c | 379$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Kennesaw State | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest | 77c | 288.05$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Kennesaw State | 10c | 216$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kennesaw State | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kennesaw State | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kennesaw State | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kennesaw State | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Kennesaw State | 29c | 174.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wake Forest | 73c | 136.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Kennesaw State | 36c | 132.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Kennesaw State | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Kennesaw State | 16c | 88.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kennesaw State | 29c | 87.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Kennesaw State | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Kennesaw State | 20c | 62.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Kennesaw State | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Kennesaw State | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Wake Forest | 78c | 38.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.