Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Luca Nardi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd86cae72e7fb3f41bfcdbcd6f0ee24a8be603fb94ef04a4483dd94063fb78a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nardiof Trungelliti, Nardi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trungelliti | 31c | 10,534$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.59 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trungelliti | 24c | 5,999$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Trungelliti | 27c | 4,228$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.35 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Trungelliti | 57c | 3,603$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.79 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Nardi | 63c | 3,325$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.88 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nardi | 74c | 3,056$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.99 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Nardi | 72c | 2,775$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.85 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nardi | 77c | 2,472$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nardi | 65c | 2,015$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.11 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Trungelliti | 49c | 1,934$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.7 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Nardi | 71c | 1,392$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Nardi | 71c | 1,297$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.14 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Nardi | 62c | 1,281$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.29 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nardi | 68c | 1,276$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.69 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trungelliti | 29c | 1,256$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Trungelliti | 42c | 1,183$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.09 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nardi | 63c | 1,177$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.82 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Nardi | 67c | 1,142$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.31 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nardi | 68c | 1,133$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.83 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Trungelliti | 40c | 1,131$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Nardi | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Trungelliti | 24c | 999.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Nardi | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Trungelliti | 25c | 789.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Trungelliti | 45c | 736.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Nardi | 74c | 705.62$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Trungelliti | 38c | 694.06$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Nardi | 76c | 657.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Nardi | 58c | 654.49$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Nardi | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trungelliti | 24c | 626.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Nardi | 71c | 595$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Trungelliti | 41c | 586.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trungelliti | 27c | 556.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Trungelliti | 24c | 543.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Nardi | 75c | 530$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Nardi | 46c | 518.87$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Nardi | 57c | 517.24$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Trungelliti | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Trungelliti | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Nardi | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trungelliti | 23c | 480.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Nardi | 58c | 459.32$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Trungelliti | 52c | 404.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Trungelliti | 41c | 385.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trungelliti | 53c | 365$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Trungelliti | 39c | 350.68$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Nardi | 66c | 333.32$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trungelliti | 20c | 333.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Trungelliti | 26c | 309.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Trungelliti | 40c | 308.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Nardi | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Nardi | 75c | 293.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Trungelliti | 32c | 291.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…b9d5backed Nardi | 69c | 289.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Trungelliti | 25c | 285$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Nardi | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Trungelliti | 45c | 269$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trungelliti | 18c | 263.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Nardi | 75c | 253.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Trungelliti | 39c | 251.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Nardi | 77c | 228.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nardi | 61c | 228.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Nardi | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Nardi | 69c | 216.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nardi | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Nardi | 46c | 202.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Trungelliti | 51c | 200.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nardi | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trungelliti | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Trungelliti | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Nardi | 64c | 192.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…cf5bbacked Trungelliti | 47c | 190.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Nardi | 57c | 179.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trungelliti | 23c | 172.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Nardi | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Nardi | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trungelliti | 24c | 163.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Nardi | 56c | 148.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Trungelliti | 39c | 148.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Nardi | 55c | 139.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Nardi | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Nardi | 79c | 127.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Trungelliti | 60c | 124.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Nardi | 43c | 119$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Nardi | 44c | 112.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Trungelliti | 41c | 109.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Nardi | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Nardi | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Nardi | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Trungelliti | 24c | 99.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Trungelliti | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trungelliti | 23c | 97.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Nardi | 66c | 91.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trungelliti | 30c | 85.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…3bd6backed Trungelliti | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Nardi | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Trungelliti | 52c | 79.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Trungelliti | 56c | 77.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…b344backed Nardi | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Luca Nardithis page
- Set Handicap: Nardi (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)Trungelliti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.