NHL · resolved market
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe744139fdb3e2222f4a8ca5177226bd2962aac5f8aa9443438d8f6d84a1f12f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Oilers, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Oilers | 39c | 16,767$6,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,539.12 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Devils | 61c | 14,574$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.77 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 59c | 3,887$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.93 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Devils | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oilers | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 60c | 684.18$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.42 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Devils | 61c | 599$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 15c | 566$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 58c | 473.61$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils | 61c | 442$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers | 39c | 385$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Oilers | 42c | 335.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 62c | 318$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Oilers | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Oilers | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 36c | 248$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 39c | 201.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Oilers | 41c | 173.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Oilers | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 39c | 146.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…5218backed Oilers | 31c | 131.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Oilers | 12c | 125.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Oilers | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Oilers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Devils | 62c | 87.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Devils | 57c | 77.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…b227backed Oilers | 41c | 73.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Oilers | 41c | 72.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Devils | 62c | 72.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Oilers | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Oilers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Oilers | 41c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Oilers | 37c | 46.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Oilers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Devils | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Devils | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Devils | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Devils | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Devils | 60c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Devils | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Devils | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Oilers | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Devils | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Devils | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. OilersDevils won
- Devils vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.