Washington State vs. James Madison

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6a4a6d3e1f97a58dfc1c69ea5d2dd42b7ea3525870302c8e9c3514b7c77c86

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: James Madisonof Washington State, James Madison
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $295,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,063 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Washington State	16c	40,161$6,426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,425.71	162	34%55 W · 107 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Washington State	15c	40,062$6,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,008.75	127	18.9%24 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Washington State	27c	8,129$2,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,230.18	862	43.7%377 W · 485 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington State	20c	8,076$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,576.29	628	43.6%274 W · 354 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Washington State	20c	7,393$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.88	648	41.2%267 W · 381 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington State	16c	7,370$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.18	405	41.2%167 W · 238 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington State	26c	6,123$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,602.89	139	33.1%46 W · 93 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Washington State	15c	6,004$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.6	494	43.7%216 W · 278 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington State	22c	5,709$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.57	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Washington State	14c	3,536$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.91	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed James Madison	63c	3,300$2,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State	6c	2,464$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.72	684	40.8%279 W · 405 L	-10.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Washington State	15c	2,266$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.27	1,090	41.7%455 W · 635 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Washington State	14c	2,084$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.23	659	45.2%298 W · 361 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Washington State	14c	2,024$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.42	174	43.7%76 W · 98 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed James Madison	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Washington State	32c	1,869$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.08	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+14.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Washington State	17c	1,800$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	345	29.9%103 W · 242 L	-21.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed James Madison	63c	1,700$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.37	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Washington State	14c	1,509$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.62	284	40.8%116 W · 168 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Washington State	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Washington State	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	134	17.2%23 W · 111 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Washington State	42c	1,362$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.72	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Washington State	25c	1,309$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.86	242	29.3%71 W · 171 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed James Madison	77c	1,291$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.17	553	50.3%278 W · 275 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington State	23c	1,208$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.07	571	44.7%255 W · 316 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Washington State	15c	1,200$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.85	96	35.4%34 W · 62 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Washington State	17c	1,200$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	471	31.4%148 W · 323 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Washington State	15c	1,200$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…16e2backed Washington State	17c	1,059$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked James Madison	56c	1,000$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Washington State	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c8…f2efbacked Washington State	16c	943$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Washington State	15c	857.43$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.61	503	58.1%292 W · 211 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Washington State	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…f4c7backed Washington State	37c	578.16$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.92	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Washington State	24c	550.41$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.9	110	22.7%25 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Washington State	16c	521.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.21	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Washington State	30c	507.1$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.37	269	40.5%109 W · 160 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Washington State	16c	490$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington State	20c	477$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.78	215	38.6%83 W · 132 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Washington State	16c	375$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Washington State	3c	319.41$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.68	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Washington State	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Washington State	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…75febacked Washington State	17c	266.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6212…4eb3backed Washington State	21c	261.57$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.93	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Washington State	42c	215$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.08	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Washington State	21c	207.19$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Washington State	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked James Madison	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked James Madison	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a99…2e19backed Washington State	21c	182.22$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2433…10acbacked Washington State	21c	171.77$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed James Madison	65c	170$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.9	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Washington State	18c	160$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	258	19.8%51 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Washington State	17c	152.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Washington State	17c	151$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.67	292	49%143 W · 149 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Washington State	16c	149.19$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	184	16.8%31 W · 153 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Washington State	38c	148.95$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.55	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Washington State	15c	134$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	244	36.9%90 W · 154 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Washington State	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Washington State	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908d…1d99backed Washington State	29c	124.12$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.74	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Washington State	16c	120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20e4…b96fbacked James Madison	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Washington State	29c	115$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.35	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Washington State	29c	113.49$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Washington State	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	473	31.5%149 W · 324 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed James Madison	69c	94.06$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	51	68.6%35 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington State	13c	81.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	588	50.2%295 W · 293 L	+23.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Washington State	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.91	632	43.7%276 W · 356 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+138.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Washington State	46c	77.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked James Madison	71c	77.1$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Washington State	35c	64.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Washington State	28c	63.65$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	262	44.3%116 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d57…1238backed Washington State	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a858backed Washington State	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d23…b55bbacked Washington State	43c	55.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed James Madison	74c	53.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.78	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Washington State	31c	45.16$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Washington State	23c	43.4$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	269	39.8%107 W · 162 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…a240backed Washington State	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe82f…9998backed James Madison	56c	35.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.89	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…82b4backed James Madison	57c	35.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-34%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed James Madison	53c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.45	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed James Madison	56c	32.14$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.14	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed James Madison	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked James Madison	66c	24.18$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb42…22f5backed James Madison	73c	20.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington State vs. James Madisonthis page
O/U 42.5Over won
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)Washington State won
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)Washington State won
Washington State vs. James Madison: O/U 43.5Over won
Washington State vs. James Madison: O/U 44.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington State vs. James Madison

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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