Champions League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x561a4477231b2d1e57c7cfb64ad58a6f1c6aa2107d2c55364fcc1ed4dbcc3512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 58c | 1,253$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.26 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 45c | 1,174$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.85 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 682$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 31c | 582$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…4aafbacked Under | 43c | 580$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 507.8$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Under | 25c | 500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Over | 59c | 441.64$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e5…87b8backed Over | 56c | 397.34$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 47c | 320.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 264.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 263.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…07a9backed Under | 42c | 239.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 56c | 209.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Under | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Under | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 57c | 158.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 43c | 150.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 41c | 140$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8f4bbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 43c | 82.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 53c | 55.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…9f48backed Under | 43c | 24.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Over | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…9f85backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.