Champions League · resolved market
Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc314c65f6a879cd087265129419e07dcfe75c7223a58379c99e84c0a299732b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed No | 49c | 1,720$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.4 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 936$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed No | 41c | 671.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.07 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 54c | 643.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 639.06$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 59c | 486.26$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes | 55c | 374$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 343.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 43c | 301.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 48c | 293.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 286.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 51c | 215.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 200.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 53c | 187.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 115.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 56c | 101.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 55c | 100.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…fce8backed Yes | 54c | 91.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 40.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 50c | 26.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Yes | 53c | 22.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…4f54backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Páfos FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.