Champions League · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x851d1aa9cda3dac0da14583cca8d8378d216bd47f42be76e90c2b2f83ca2b259
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Páfos FCof AS Monaco FC, Páfos FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Páfos FC | 61c | 6,457$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.86 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 5,929$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Páfos FC | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 4,073$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.24 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 1,201$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Páfos FC | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked AS Monaco FC | 53c | 542.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.78 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed AS Monaco FC | 41c | 322$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked AS Monaco FC | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Páfos FC | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Páfos FC | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Páfos FC | 58c | 198.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed AS Monaco FC | 56c | 172.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Páfos FC | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…1379backed Páfos FC | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked AS Monaco FC | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Páfos FC | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537e…63ccbacked AS Monaco FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Páfos FC | 66c | 92.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Páfos FC | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed AS Monaco FC | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Páfos FC | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Páfos FC | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Páfos FC | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Páfos FC | 64c | 81.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed AS Monaco FC | 39c | 79.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Páfos FC | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Páfos FC | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked AS Monaco FC | 39c | 64.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed AS Monaco FC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Páfos FC | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Páfos FC | 77c | 55.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed AS Monaco FC | 42c | 53.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Páfos FC | 58c | 53.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked AS Monaco FC | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Páfos FC | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…14ddbacked AS Monaco FC | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed AS Monaco FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Páfos FC | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…56d7backed Páfos FC | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.