Champions League · resolved market
Will FC København vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa12ecf05b517206662e2fdcd99a0ab36b3c4fe3256eb7ffb8f1115c8c305b48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 17c | 43,020$7,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,313.36 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 27,207$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.49 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 10,832$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.53 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 12c | 5,807$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 4,347$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.06 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 3,496$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.14 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 12c | 1,148$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…fa9ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 17c | 898$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…30d8backed Yes | 18c | 612.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 2c | 504.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…34cabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 10c | 251.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 17c | 222$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 19c | 211$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 194.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 18c | 137.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Yes | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 16c | 127.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Yes | 18c | 111.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 18c | 101.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38b…a04dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?this page
- Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.