Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36023b2689f3aa77f93e0a31a7f311f58074eea53d79556cc70410d4b3e66d4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 8c | 19,463$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.38 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 14,373$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.26 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 13,304$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.13 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 9c | 5,777$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 4,050$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 9c | 2,977$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 7c | 2,863$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,596$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 7c | 1,583$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,497$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 8c | 1,441$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,208$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 6c | 1,190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 8c | 1,069$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 10c | 1,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Yes | 9c | 961.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 8c | 924.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 9c | 864.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 10c | 766$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d3…e8b1backed Yes | 8c | 614.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 9c | 588.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…35e5backed Yes | 8c | 534.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 6c | 474$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…7a6bbacked Yes | 8c | 474$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 9c | 397.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 4c | 392.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…28a5backed Yes | 7c | 382.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked Yes | 8c | 362.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 8c | 343$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…8149backed Yes | 8c | 300.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…7af9backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 299.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…ff5dbacked Yes | 9c | 287.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 5c | 276.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 8c | 242.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +342.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 8c | 215.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…4f37backed Yes | 8c | 214.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…a270backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +440.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…21f7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 199.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed Yes | 8c | 194$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…e393backed Yes | 8c | 155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…20aabacked Yes | 8c | 155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf532…70eabacked Yes | 10c | 147.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…b812backed Yes | 9c | 145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…31edbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…b757backed Yes | 9c | 111.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 10c | 103.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will FC København vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?No won
- Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.