La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis vs. Girona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x562590badb95dda8ea8aead26a743f6c5619fe6f73d54697f92eddac62575a4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 4,540$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.78 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 2,404$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.73 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 1,853$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed No | 80c | 1,557$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,424$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 972.66$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.15 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 712.93$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 41c | 690.55$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 515.02$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.86 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8343…5be0backed Yes | 22c | 486.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 396.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 9c | 353.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 80c | 303.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 20c | 275$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 248.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 224.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 196.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 156.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 33c | 151.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 32c | 150.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 23c | 129.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 20c | 119.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…a4c9backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 21c | 113$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…7aa1backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 30c | 87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 74.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…09bbbacked Yes | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 31c | 68.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…843fbacked Yes | 62c | 59.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 58c | 58.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 79c | 51.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 48c | 51.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…932abacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 28c | 37.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 47c | 31.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 69c | 15.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked No | 79c | 13.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis vs. Girona end in a draw?this page
- Will Girona win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.