La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ff71f3145da2ff060d6fd866388e989bbd9b244285f0b00c4ec966b2210589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 79,168$37,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,201.5 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 49,999$22,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,249.46 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 15,641$9,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 59c | 12,999$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.79 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 15c | 2,551$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.6 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 1,830$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 42c | 1,790$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,532$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,079$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,037$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…67e2backed No | 59c | 764.42$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 21c | 731.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 705$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…7418backed Yes | 38c | 526.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 13c | 526.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…20f1backed Yes | 14c | 460$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 16c | 296$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…0b73backed Yes | 12c | 289.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked No | 75c | 265.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 57c | 172.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 59c | 127.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d00ebacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 46c | 104.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 38c | 100.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 95.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 14c | 93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 89.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 16c | 77.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 46c | 77.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 39c | 66.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 52c | 63.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 43c | 46.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…0451backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 60c | 24.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 66c | 15.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Real Betis vs. Girona end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.