La Liga · resolved market
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x528a198862263bd66d45524757c62b5b83b1012f5c4b939fe2f6a035e0337cfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 4,975$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.28 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 47c | 2,102$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 57c | 875.79$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 47c | 404$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 287.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Under | 57c | 234.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Over | 49c | 163.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…510ebacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 110.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 56c | 110.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 98.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 57c | 87.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Over | 47c | 85.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Under | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 55c | 55.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…dd99backed Over | 47c | 52.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…1e10backed Under | 55c | 48.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ea…0cf7backed Over | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…fe56backed Over | 45c | 45.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…378bbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…2682backed Under | 55c | 42.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc5…3d73backed Over | 46c | 37.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Over | 46c | 33.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…7a3fbacked Over | 45c | 32.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5this page
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5Over won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)Sevilla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.