La Liga · resolved market
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13cbcd45ca57711b600c456cce3c3c9d31c22fa4761f047484e4fcdecc517922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 6,622$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.76 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 75c | 4,048$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 68c | 2,861$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 26c | 852.64$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 577.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.63 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 45c | 375$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 36c | 245.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 158.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 29c | 139.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 72c | 108.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe2…8f71backed Over | 71c | 101.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 72c | 99.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…571cbacked Over | 71c | 92.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…ff1ebacked Over | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 70c | 91.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…ff77backed Over | 71c | 88.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…74fabacked Over | 71c | 86.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…cb20backed Over | 71c | 81.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fee…39efbacked Over | 71c | 79.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a2…8cb0backed Over | 71c | 78.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 75.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…61c6backed Over | 71c | 64.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…2223backed Over | 71c | 63.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7bc9backed Over | 71c | 61.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…595fbacked Over | 71c | 61.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…d141backed Over | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 33c | 55.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f6c1backed Over | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 25c | 42.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…e804backed Over | 71c | 40.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…fa8fbacked Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 71c | 32.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 45c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 71c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 73c | 29.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…0222backed Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5this page
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Over won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)Sevilla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.