La Liga · resolved market
Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb837abc8fc74359657be76c2c37564d62628715351dd1c72b6b0e30f007d788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 651.84$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.83 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 48c | 203$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 48c | 145.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Yes | 52c | 117.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 51c | 110.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6446…29a8backed Yes | 51c | 101.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…6efbbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 52c | 31.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 50c | 31.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…99a1backed No | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…2d48backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed No | 49c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…e234backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5Over won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Over won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)Sevilla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.