La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf555e3bfd765c549c0d41191d824f9e1e78825807c7a32f31876d4c621cedcbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sevillaof Espanyol, Sevilla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sevilla | 74c | 4,599$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.66 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Espanyol | 23c | 3,333$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.59 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Espanyol | 30c | 2,714$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sevilla | 75c | 1,022$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sevilla | 78c | 509.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Espanyol | 23c | 500.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Espanyol | 25c | 416$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Espanyol | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sevilla | 70c | 166.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Espanyol | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Sevilla | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sevilla | 69c | 101.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Espanyol | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Espanyol | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Espanyol | 21c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Espanyol | 22c | 57.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…0222backed Sevilla | 77c | 46.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…8ab6backed Sevilla | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2b…e91bbacked Sevilla | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Espanyol (-1.5)this page
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 1.5Over won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Over won
- Espanyol vs. Sevilla: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.