Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76d42a81dfe5db7bc77184001f8c9734703b2a4e70fc970f2ddf6dda6f68122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 9,828$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.62 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 8,463$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 6,413$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…0765backed Team Falcons | 80c | 6,357$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 5,674$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Tundra Esports | 4c | 3,876$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 3,800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…ade4backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 2,498$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Team Falcons | 63c | 2,169$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,911$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,869$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.32 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,700$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.21 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,683$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.53 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Falcons | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 1,456$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,317$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,226$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,214$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.21 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…8fc2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,110$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a098backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 931.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…7ca4backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 910$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 874.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Tundra Esports | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 682.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 665.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…295bbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 660$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 629.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 619$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Falcons | 75c | 591.68$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…d3dabacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 575$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 547.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 511.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 490.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Team Falcons | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 424.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 418.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…e2f2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 410$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 363.3$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…e9c5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 360$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 346.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 346.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 345.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Team Falcons | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 319.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 69c | 310$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 309.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons | 80c | 298.55$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Falcons | 63c | 290.27$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…70bbbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 270.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Team Falcons | 65c | 262.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 251.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9a…6e9ebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 250.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 70c | 237.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…cf3abacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 227.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 227.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 200.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 200.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Team Falcons | 76c | 197.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Falcons | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 196.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…60e4backed Team Falcons | 76c | 181.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374f…5087backed Team Falcons | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 161.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Falcons | 63c | 159.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…9ed0backed Team Falcons | 77c | 154.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Falcons | 65c | 153.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Falcons | 66c | 151.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…793ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 151.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Team Falcons | 68c | 147.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 145.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -10.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 142.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Falcons | 70c | 142.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Tundra Esports | 9c | 123.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Falcons | 67c | 122.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 116.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Team Falcons | 62c | 96.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Tundra Esports | 14c | 92.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 60c | 92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Team Falcons | 78c | 90.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.