TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs Execration (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, Execration
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac0d…b006backed Heroic52c19,889$10,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,507.9910661.3%65 W · 41 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Execration58c10,142$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,862.419047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Heroic67c10,056$6,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.4913155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Execration41c8,290$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.64746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Execration48c6,623$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.161,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Execration35c5,680$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.326237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Execration2c3,500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Execration40c2,980$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20016149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Heroic64c2,840$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.3410641.5%44 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Execration35c2,737$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.3721847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Execration33c2,413$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.368253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…b13ebacked Execration12c2,260$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Execration68c2,048$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.8114446.5%67 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Execration4c2,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Heroic68c1,888$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.3425348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Heroic67c1,527$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8827645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Execration12c1,510$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.847630.3%23 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked Heroic66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106046.7%28 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic51c1,422$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.362,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Execration31c1,200$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4449133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked Execration62c966.21$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.055358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Execration42c931.32$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.2585851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Heroic68c900$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Execration60c830$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49861057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heroic59c826.63$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1516665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Execration37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Execration33c750.61$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2311855.1%65 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Heroic66c707.68$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24223465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…092ebacked Execration22c706.2$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Heroic38c684.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.611668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Execration27c603.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.148411.9%10 W · 74 L-14.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic41c590$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4322033.6%74 W · 146 L-0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Execration37c572.35$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7761449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Execration35c568.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Execration43c563.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.629444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Execration64c557.82$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6128341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Execration39c557.42$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Heroic67c556.04$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4913346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Execration33c545.72$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.178037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Heroic67c542.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2877941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Execration43c525.76$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9556848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Heroic62c523$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9712351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Execration49c502.94$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4155251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Execration57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Heroic53c481.53$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.725756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Execration30c479.62$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8938049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Heroic67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.762576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Execration40c446.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8917950.3%90 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed Execration49c444.57$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.54055%22 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Heroic63c407.94$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9426957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Heroic64c406$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Execration36c400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14264123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Execration29c393.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Execration50c390.01$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.128244%124 W · 158 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed Execration34c385.29$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c2…1c20backed Execration38c370$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Execration63c365.08$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23035370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Heroic73c347.89$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5714537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Heroic46c345.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Execration28c342.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1318…0af2backed Execration33c333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8917633.5%59 W · 117 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c8…a8a3backed Execration49c329.67$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Execration55c318.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Heroic65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6941655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Heroic65c307.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.551827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed Heroic66c302.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.311551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Heroic67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Heroic66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.41866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Execration34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc96c…e481backed Heroic38c265.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Heroic69c250$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Execration66c225$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.559250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Execration29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6034443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration36c205$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.831545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Execration37c204.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0323546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab5e…e37abacked Execration57c202.74$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed Execration39c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.533540%14 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2e7…40c2backed Execration30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Heroic64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.513657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde9…51d7backed Execration61c185.29$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.922326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Execration35c166.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Heroic63c155$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.353554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fb…793ebacked Heroic53c151.92$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.922245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb59b…916bbacked Execration58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57360.3%44 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Heroic67c147.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7622453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Heroic68c146.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.279054.4%49 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe816…74c5backed Heroic65c144.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Heroic70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8610659.4%63 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Execration43c141.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2562841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Execration14c137.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.036169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Heroic79c137.79$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.968066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Heroic38c134.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Execration32c133.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.536442.3%154 W · 210 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af5…d29cbacked Heroic38c132.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Execration34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.28330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed Execration43c128.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.042147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Heroic75c121.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3314668.5%100 W · 46 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed Heroic67c118.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.996943.5%30 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…cf3abacked Execration35c113.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic45c112.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1414039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.