NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e66ab530a4edda8e934061aae2ae6dd3f24100fb7923f738709554456ffedb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Oilers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Kraken | 42c | 240,710$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,709.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 39c | 229,943$90,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,143.64 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Oilers | 58c | 113,636$65,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,373.33 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Oilers | 59c | 60,000$35,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,600 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Oilers | 60c | 54,000$32,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,421.96 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Oilers | 60c | 36,530$22,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,008.19 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 61c | 35,547$21,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,585.22 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kraken | 49c | 33,193$16,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,916.54 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Oilers | 57c | 28,736$16,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,429.49 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Oilers | 60c | 27,000$16,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,320 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers | 60c | 23,500$14,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,150 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Oilers | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199.95 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 52c | 19,469$10,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,081.38 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Oilers | 61c | 9,000$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Oilers | 62c | 7,877$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.88 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oilers | 61c | 7,800$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.14 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Oilers | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Kraken | 77c | 7,217$5,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Oilers | 23c | 6,437$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oilers | 59c | 6,190$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.31 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers | 60c | 6,177$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.1 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Oilers | 61c | 6,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 65c | 5,559$3,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Oilers | 34c | 5,519$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oilers | 62c | 5,280$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 60c | 5,213$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oilers | 59c | 5,058$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.17 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Oilers | 33c | 5,053$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.75 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Oilers | 42c | 4,452$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Oilers | 62c | 4,245$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oilers | 54c | 3,500$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 61c | 3,275$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.75 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…64a0backed Kraken | 72c | 3,224$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Kraken | 40c | 2,900$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 44c | 2,802$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.61 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Oilers | 25c | 2,591$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.04 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 2,482$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Kraken | 80c | 2,226$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 61c | 2,000$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.79 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,952$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Oilers | 26c | 1,947$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 64c | 1,745$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.2 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 21c | 1,733$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.7 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Oilers | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Oilers | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Oilers | 61c | 1,423$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.02 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Oilers | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Oilers | 54c | 1,394$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 33c | 1,305$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Oilers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kraken | 74c | 1,072$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Oilers | 47c | 1,070$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,037$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Oilers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Kraken | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 38c | 961.22$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.96 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 39c | 946.65$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 33c | 943.49$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 60c | 925.82$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.25 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 39c | 924$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.64 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Kraken | 74c | 899.99$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Oilers | 61c | 885.25$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 60c | 875$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oilers | 8c | 875$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Oilers | 3c | 850$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Kraken | 40c | 817.5$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Oilers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Kraken | 64c | 800$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.77 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Oilers | 47c | 740.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Oilers | 20c | 737.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Oilers | 36c | 725.81$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 62c | 688.21$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…aa95backed Kraken | 71c | 670.26$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 62c | 670$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Oilers | 61c | 645.95$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…9b91backed Oilers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Kraken | 40c | 642.5$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…2c2bbacked Kraken | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Oilers | 45c | 629.82$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.63 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…9235backed Oilers | 49c | 615.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Oilers | 61c | 609.1$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Kraken | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Oilers | 60c | 600$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kraken | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Oilers | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Kraken | 77c | 589.8$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Oilers | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Oilers | 60c | 497.25$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.35 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Oilers | 62c | 475.81$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 61c | 460$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Oilers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Oilers | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Oilers | 45c | 385.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…67b2backed Kraken | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kraken | 38c | 328.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Oilers | 62c | 322.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Krakenthis page
- Oilers vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.