TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Menorca: Matteo Martineau vs Pedro Vives Marcos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matteo Martineauof Matteo Martineau, Pedro Vives Marcos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa08…d98abacked Matteo Martineau80c14,903$11,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,981.1225661.3%157 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Pedro Vives Marcos41c7,203$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.261,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau55c4,699$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.49,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Pedro Vives Marcos2c3,561$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.557841%237 W · 341 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pedro Vives Marcos13c3,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pedro Vives Marcos31c2,991$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.843,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Pedro Vives Marcos9c1,470$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Pedro Vives Marcos10c1,204$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.143542.9%15 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+212%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Pedro Vives Marcos6c1,170$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Pedro Vives Marcos6c1,170$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72229.1%2 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-42.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Pedro Vives Marcos2c1,026$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Matteo Martineau28c1,021$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.8430225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pedro Vives Marcos74c931.3$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.292,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Pedro Vives Marcos14c825$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.57828.2%22 W · 56 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d94…593ebacked Pedro Vives Marcos14c700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L+7.9wins+0.33per pick25cpaid+127.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Pedro Vives Marcos14c700$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004932.7%16 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+131.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7f64…6ddfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos47c620.45$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.433339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Matteo Martineau33c579.43$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.4524638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Pedro Vives Marcos45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1536032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Pedro Vives Marcos14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704930.6%15 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.21per pick10cpaid+156.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Pedro Vives Marcos5c500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262524%6 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick8cpaid+123.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed Pedro Vives Marcos12c468.79$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.257542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Pedro Vives Marcos47c463.32$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.766254.8%34 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pedro Vives Marcos65c458.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.291,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Matteo Martineau55c441.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.737041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pedro Vives Marcos62c407.23$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.522,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick11cpaid+207.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Pedro Vives Marcos44c377.38$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0558734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pedro Vives Marcos41c325.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3819241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Matteo Martineau53c286.22$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.529743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Pedro Vives Marcos44c282$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.214,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Pedro Vives Marcos22c253$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4669438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Pedro Vives Marcos21c250$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524829.2%14 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+273.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Pedro Vives Marcos41c240.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8198055.4%543 W · 437 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Matteo Martineau36c202.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6736944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Pedro Vives Marcos25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0648235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Pedro Vives Marcos14c160$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+57.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Matteo Martineau59c157.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a9…c488backed Matteo Martineau53c146.83$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.013161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Matteo Martineau59c141.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.218446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Martineau53c138.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.818,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pedro Vives Marcos72c134.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.159,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked Matteo Martineau59c126.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba0…811dbacked Matteo Martineau57c97.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.281457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Matteo Martineau57c92.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8324249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Matteo Martineau52c89.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.272,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Martineau55c88.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.134,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…df70backed Pedro Vives Marcos27c86.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.064858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Matteo Martineau59c76.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.412,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Matteo Martineau53c73.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6132050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pedro Vives Marcos43c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Matteo Martineau58c67.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.183228.1%9 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Pedro Vives Marcos55c62.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.42,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Pedro Vives Marcos26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.629039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Pedro Vives Marcos26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Matteo Martineau35c57.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4812444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Pedro Vives Marcos51c57.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1112831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Pedro Vives Marcos70c56.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2884963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Matteo Martineau55c55.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9682055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Pedro Vives Marcos20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106456.3%36 W · 28 L+18.4wins+0.29per pick27cpaid+109.2%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pedro Vives Marcos60c49.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.276,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pedro Vives Marcos64c48.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.272,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Matteo Martineau26c47.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0622113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Matteo Martineau34c45.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.823,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Pedro Vives Marcos46c44.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.558248.3%281 W · 301 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Pedro Vives Marcos47c42.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9153457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2550…f978backed Pedro Vives Marcos45c40.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Pedro Vives Marcos47c40.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.033865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Matteo Martineau39c39.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Matteo Martineau59c39.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1647653.2%253 W · 223 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410c…15f7backed Matteo Martineau56c38.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.049856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Matteo Martineau52c38.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.243,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2098…0c0bbacked Matteo Martineau45c37.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.719062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Matteo Martineau55c37.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8617761%108 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Matteo Martineau32c36.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Matteo Martineau56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Matteo Martineau55c34.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Pedro Vives Marcos50c34.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.315448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Pedro Vives Marcos48c32.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.553429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Pedro Vives Marcos47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5228352.7%149 W · 134 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Martineau34c30.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Pedro Vives Marcos46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6540048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7efb…68a1backed Matteo Martineau57c26.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pedro Vives Marcos42c26.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.157,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Martineau53c22.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.497,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd824…0dbabacked Matteo Martineau55c19.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Matteo Martineau58c18.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6215248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.