NBA · resolved market
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf6f2697e123f9bfb2c8788ed35741c67159ed19374886e6e7cb3f35e60f855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,854,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,213,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,854,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 3c | 149,863$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.72 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 4c | 130,051$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.78 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 5c | 50,800$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.97 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 1c | 30,267$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 4c | 20,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 3c | 16,749$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.06 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 2c | 14,982$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffa…8714backed Yes | 2c | 14,877$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 11,849$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.08 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 1c | 10,167$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes | 3c | 7,809$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.76 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 5,748$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…00a0backed Yes | 3c | 5,271$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b44ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,211$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…d27abacked Yes | 3c | 4,595$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,530$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 4,319$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 1c | 4,088$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…3cbfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,989$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…4f76backed Yes | 6c | 3,981$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…63a5backed Yes | 3c | 3,778$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…8823backed Yes | 3c | 3,635$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…0d45backed Yes | 3c | 3,589$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 3,488$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…5034backed Yes | 3c | 3,146$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdb…dd36backed Yes | 3c | 3,138$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…ce23backed Yes | 3c | 3,070$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…54f4backed Yes | 3c | 2,948$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,770$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…e72abacked Yes | 3c | 2,730$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233e…8583backed Yes | 3c | 2,714$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,669$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…ed69backed Yes | 3c | 2,647$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…8c29backed Yes | 3c | 2,644$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…2771backed Yes | 3c | 2,631$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…1c1ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,584$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 2,552$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…cd44backed Yes | 3c | 2,520$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 4c | 2,479$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…8564backed Yes | 3c | 2,402$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 2c | 2,400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…1856backed Yes | 6c | 2,396$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 5c | 2,295$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…ee82backed Yes | 3c | 2,231$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…03b5backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,216$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…e451backed Yes | 3c | 2,198$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 1c | 1,971$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Yes | 5c | 1,890$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…0440backed Yes | 5c | 1,888$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…ad8dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,883$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…bbd6backed Yes | 3c | 1,873$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db4…29e8backed Yes | 3c | 1,839$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3f…c097backed Yes | 3c | 1,797$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…156fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,782$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,755$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 92 | 20.7%19 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…16d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,745$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,737$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…1701backed Yes | 4c | 1,729$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6fc4backed Yes | 3c | 1,691$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…2bb8backed Yes | 1c | 1,663$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…d1aabacked Yes | 1c | 1,641$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…9a69backed Yes | 3c | 1,637$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d5…8857backed Yes | 1c | 1,626$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…01b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,625$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…e858backed Yes | 2c | 1,617$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…32e3backed Yes | 3c | 1,610$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked Yes | 4c | 1,600$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1906…ae3abacked Yes | 3c | 1,596$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,593$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…ef6cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,584$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…f6b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,580$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…9825backed Yes | 6c | 1,552$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dc67backed Yes | 1c | 1,529$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…dbf1backed Yes | 3c | 1,520$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,494$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…e149backed Yes | 3c | 1,489$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 10c | 1,460$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…9f4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,432$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…564dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,419$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Yes | 6c | 1,392$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…5908backed Yes | 3c | 1,373$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 1,361$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddd6…3d16backed Yes | 4c | 1,342$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…2033backed Yes | 3c | 1,330$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 2c | 1,291$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13a…0642backed Yes | 3c | 1,287$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 1,267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…3016backed Yes | 3c | 1,254$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79bc…5476backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,244$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7df…c3edbacked Yes | 3c | 1,243$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…7d48backed Yes | 4c | 1,199$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a4…d8ccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,181$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…3b63backed Yes | 3c | 1,158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 3c | 1,125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.