TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0b7…1e34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Fed Rates at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.06
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$63.82
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.82
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.51
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.48
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+399.5%+$59.93
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$13.55
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.02
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.