MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053104980cd35f738a3e996d8b2f2a3c6351db458904a05f6f1a985bd536b2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $654,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Under | 61c | 417,912$253,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,877.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 39c | 130,000$50,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,300 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 39c | 128,961$50,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,666.18 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 39c | 90,000$35,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,899.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Under | 0c | 75,469$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 39c | 38,766$15,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,457.51 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 41c | 22,425$9,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200.59 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Under | 57c | 16,803$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,596.64 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 57c | 16,508$9,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,329.94 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 60c | 16,273$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,759.89 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 41c | 12,630$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,451.61 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 11,988$5,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 45c | 8,833$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.04 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 41c | 7,919$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.94 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 6,140$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.42 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 52c | 5,828$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.2 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 43c | 5,596$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.15 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 5,000$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.72 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 4,922$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.43 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 4,194$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.18 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 3,904$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.13 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 3,336$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 54c | 3,238$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 3,096$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Over | 43c | 3,050$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.5 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 2,877$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 54c | 2,807$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.67 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 2,693$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Over | 43c | 2,270$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 2,012$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.91 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 61c | 1,958$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.29 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…b731backed Over | 52c | 1,855$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 1,647$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.3 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 1,623$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 45c | 1,548$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.52 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 1,436$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,328$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 1,295$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.43 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 55c | 1,294$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.95 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 1,153$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.14 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Over | 41c | 1,048$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.09 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…ff8ebacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 53c | 999.95$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.97 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 57c | 995.86$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.64 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 43c | 915.43$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.89 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 41c | 853.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Over | 42c | 758.84$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Over | 46c | 674.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.19 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 60c | 632.73$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.68 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Over | 46c | 613.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.27 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 605.76$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.11 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 55c | 553.48$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 550.37$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 500.03$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.16 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 46c | 460.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.71 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 46c | 460.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.71 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 58c | 458$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 58c | 444.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 42c | 439.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.14 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 59c | 411.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Over | 47c | 411.09$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 41c | 364.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Over | 44c | 357.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 346.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 43c | 337.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 42c | 329.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Over | 47c | 329.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 55c | 324.59$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 45c | 317.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 44c | 308.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 46c | 307.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Over | 46c | 307.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 55c | 299.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 46c | 294.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Over | 41c | 282.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 39c | 253.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 46c | 251.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over | 46c | 246.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Over | 46c | 246.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 52c | 230.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 224.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 47c | 215.91$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Over | 45c | 215.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 49c | 207.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 47c | 179.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…bf27backed Over | 46c | 176.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. AthleticsChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.