MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb89f5e4890676fc6ea77634b76ae62fcf8e6413f6578283a9bbe6a8f379b27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Athletics, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 43c | 4,914$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.2 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 3,736$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 2,415$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.15 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,982$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.02 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Athletics | 43c | 1,968$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 1,859$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.67 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 1,814$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.09 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,603$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.35 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 42c | 1,437$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.72 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…dab1backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 1,217$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 756.17$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 700.86$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 506.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 444.24$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 402.6$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Athletics | 42c | 379.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Athletics | 42c | 379.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Athletics | 44c | 318.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Athletics | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Athletics | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Athletics | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Athletics | 41c | 176.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Athletics | 44c | 166.92$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 14c | 158.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Athletics | 42c | 149.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Athletics | 42c | 113.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 111.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Athletics | 44c | 91.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 90.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 79.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Athletics | 44c | 68.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Athletics | 42c | 58.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletics | 41c | 57.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Athletics | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Athletics | 42c | 56.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Athletics | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Athletics | 42c | 53.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Athletics | 44c | 53.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…cddbbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Athletics | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 49.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Athletics | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Athletics | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Athletics | 42c | 43.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Athletics | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…2815backed Athletics | 44c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Athletics | 42c | 33.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics | 43c | 30.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Athletics | 44c | 28.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Athletics | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 25.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…4e0abacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 21.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 18.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. AthleticsChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.