TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked Over56c8,242$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.4193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c6,844$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.251,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over52c5,464$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.773545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over66c4,903$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under31c3,936$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.571,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under47c3,062$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.715561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Under31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c2,308$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under49c2,168$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Under50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97026444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under24c1,880$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over52c1,518$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.824949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over55c1,238$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.263855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over51c1,109$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Over75c1,051$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.677936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under26c988.98$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c936.54$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.186,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under45c909.09$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over54c900.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1714045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c890.24$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.291,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.055635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c821.96$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over60c750.86$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.342,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c619.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over70c593.46$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1219246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c592.72$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c585.96$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2914626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c579.04$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.342,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c563.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under54c526.07$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0817052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under46c491.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Over50c389.84$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.924346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under46c387.04$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c384.22$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c373.71$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c291.42$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under31c286.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under46c277.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.666845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…c6b3backed Over72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over68c272.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3713342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over71c272.95$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9546346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c248.59$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over58c242.2$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c227.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under41c227.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c216.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.231,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over75c211$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.757047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc65a…0fd2backed Over48c200.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under51c194.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.652161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.836250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.612470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over79c175.91$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7121640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c172.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under29c171.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under33c165.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Over69c147.21$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.644959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Under36c144.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4113441%55 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over54c144.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under45c143.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7910552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0913655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0911261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Over70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.094461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Under33c130.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.728457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over71c127.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9314845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Under36c121.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.362365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under42c120.59$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c119.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Under38c115.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.286864.7%44 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under46c114.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.738439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over52c114.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under35c107.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.672,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f61…f56fbacked Over47c106.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c96.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over54c89.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.417848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.392,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c82.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7417043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under36c81.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3925958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under31c79.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1714153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b1…7f78backed Under51c69.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0953backed Over51c69.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over75c65.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4317651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over72c65.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3620055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under46c65.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over60c64.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2444747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514f…afc8backed Over51c61.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.167949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Under50c57.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5136842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.