TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,359
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,359 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c27,843$14,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,679.4969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Under49c23,212$11,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,374.021776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c16,996$8,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,240.621,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over55c9,047$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.8793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under50c6,180$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,09059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c5,194$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.081,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c4,322$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over50c4,173$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,997$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over49c2,670$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.454949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over53c2,496$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.34744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under47c2,223$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.692231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,969$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c1,725$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c1,423$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.5355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Under49c1,386$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.263138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under49c1,187$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.642556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c1,085$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.7266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under47c948.61$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over53c917.24$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.3444052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under50c815.06$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5738947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c770.64$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c640.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.121,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Over49c593.51$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.692161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c545.52$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7af…1802backed Over50c528.26$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c490.91$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.165545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c417.44$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under11c383.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over57c342.98$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.168952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under48c295.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8343148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c212.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Under51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7712542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over49c201.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9427549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8827435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1825850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Under51c183.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3531551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under52c149.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over52c142.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6824138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over58c137.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.578457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under51c108.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under49c107.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3841050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over54c103.37$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6259255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…308ebacked Under47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0446959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under49c100.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.381,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over50c99.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.151,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Under51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4915336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c98.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.061,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4513555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.518349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f8…2922backed Under52c73.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c67.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over52c65.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0943750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c61.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c60.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under51c58.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.771752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under51c58.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.629449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ba…97f7backed Under52c55.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over66c54.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4924652.8%130 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over48c52.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3540548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under45c52.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under46c52.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.222143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e4c…745bbacked Under52c51.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Over53c50.31$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7dd…4843backed Under52c50.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.244652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under42c48.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Under49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7511851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.281353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Over49c46.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6920146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under52c44.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0359…2572backed Under52c44.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over54c43.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6725958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.075,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed Under52c42.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3636350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Under51c40.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe127…82a2backed Under43c40.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.452965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Under49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.397548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5e…bc03backed Under52c39.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x812e…2fbabacked Under52c38.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a04…8305backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4180%0 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4129665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c37.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…a5f9backed Under52c36.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0f0…0f04backed Under52c36.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce02…8ca5backed Under52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.265630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c34.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.