TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$413,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $413,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c309,027$149,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159,428.6469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Under52c257,264$133,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,589.898148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under50c20,195$10,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,097.75935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over49c20,136$9,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,270.9849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c17,238$8,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,216.471,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e54…6ee5backed Under50c16,419$8,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,139.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c14,578$7,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.6193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c10,669$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,236.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c8,182$4,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,09143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c7,995$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,997.371,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under51c7,264$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.8537627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c6,501$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c5,312$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c4,021$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.818,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c3,628$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.918349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Under50c2,910$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4557963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under50c2,843$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.214535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,511$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c2,425$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over58c2,397$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.7652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c2,119$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.112,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Over71c2,036$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under36c1,995$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.991,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under35c1,981$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.4432846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over64c1,945$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.811,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Under50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97012542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under32c1,830$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under38c1,549$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over49c1,238$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.434949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under52c1,084$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.8530446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Under51c1,002$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.6711757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under51c995.52$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Under51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.013644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under50c863.63$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.815839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c764.36$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over68c721.25$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8546258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Under39c639.76$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.115225%13 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under51c570.94$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.185743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under41c502.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Under49c418.18$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.913046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19411043.6%48 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under14c382.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4118835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under53c367.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2118552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c337.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over59c335.98$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under41c333$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5324949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over47c328.05$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8727747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7e6…23e4backed Under79c277.62$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4950%0 W · 5 L-3.2wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over59c276.92$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.541,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Under45c212.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.736662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c197.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6889048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…f2d7backed Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.065330.2%16 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2526755.1%147 W · 120 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Under42c183.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.942755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.240440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under53c174.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.127150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c173.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.512,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under51c171.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.355549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d76…90a0backed Over69c171.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c169.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c166.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Over49c151.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2833748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under45c151.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.434037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Under50c149.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.696860.3%41 W · 27 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over62c147.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.148457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under28c145.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over51c142.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9415055.3%83 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under50c142.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1162744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Over55c127.55$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Under56c123.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.552157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under32c122.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9531238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under37c122.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c106$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.061,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over53c104.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8811057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under46c102.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.340750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over59c99.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4315663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4556154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.518850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over53c94.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5746959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5611440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed Under19c80.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.475844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over51c79.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.058850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under37c79.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.521,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under50c77.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.812458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1292…e678backed Under51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8218144.2%80 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over21c75.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over58c66.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0520055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.718350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Under48c60.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7761…f504backed Under49c58.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.735541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.