NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35244461b05fb0394dc6e3d1441e6c0e2bfff42f397efad21e52afbfa2d7c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 75c | 52,410$39,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,355.35 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Magic | 50c | 36,318$18,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,159.17 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 52c | 31,453$16,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,100.91 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 20c | 20,449$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Magic | 52c | 20,367$10,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,779.97 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Pistons | 49c | 19,370$9,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,491.28 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 22c | 16,562$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.91 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 52c | 14,953$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,177.53 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 49c | 13,826$6,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.12 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magic | 50c | 13,332$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,665.75 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 31c | 13,204$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Pistons | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.24 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons | 16c | 8,993$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.71 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 50c | 8,667$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.22 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Pistons | 50c | 8,342$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,171 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,798$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.05 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,812$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.23 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Pistons | 50c | 5,535$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.29 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 49c | 5,288$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.95 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Pistons | 51c | 5,199$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.56 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Magic | 53c | 4,373$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.36 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Pistons | 37c | 4,278$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Pistons | 51c | 3,997$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.26 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 48c | 3,897$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 53c | 3,887$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pistons | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.19 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 47c | 3,351$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.11 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 50c | 3,343$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 48c | 3,233$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pistons | 4c | 3,119$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.07 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Pistons | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.07 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Magic | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.68 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Pistons | 48c | 2,737$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.69 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Pistons | 48c | 2,684$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 51c | 2,626$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Pistons | 48c | 2,384$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.15 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Pistons | 18c | 2,194$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.42 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Magic | 49c | 2,177$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.55 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Pistons | 48c | 2,040$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.2 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Pistons | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Pistons | 48c | 1,998$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.05 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Pistons | 48c | 1,779$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.48 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,734$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.39 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Pistons | 14c | 1,637$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Pistons | 29c | 1,541$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Magic | 80c | 1,499$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,453$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,312$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pistons | 4c | 1,299$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Pistons | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 18c | 1,232$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.8 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Pistons | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 47c | 1,116$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.31 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Magic | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pistons | 49c | 1,110$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.93 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Pistons | 29c | 1,104$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 47c | 1,104$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Magic | 51c | 1,073$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.7 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Magic | 51c | 1,057$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.98 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…d34abacked Pistons | 31c | 1,051$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.88 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.72 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Pistons | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Pistons | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Magic | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pistons | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Pistons | 48c | 998.12$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.1 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Magic | 53c | 990.59$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.58 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Magic | 52c | 987.3$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.9 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Pistons | 14c | 941.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Pistons | 47c | 903.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.88 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Magic | 50c | 860$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Pistons | 48c | 850.26$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.13 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Pistons | 44c | 761.59$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.56 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…7546backed Pistons | 50c | 704.53$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Pistons | 49c | 702.85$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Pistons | 50c | 651.26$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Pistons | 51c | 633.74$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.21 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Pistons | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Pistons | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Pistons | 48c | 561.7$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Pistons | 7c | 508.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Pistons | 48c | 503.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Pistons | 50c | 494.53$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pistons | 3c | 487.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Pistons | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Pistons | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Pistons | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pistons | 3c | 403.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Magic | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Magic | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Magic | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Magic | 60c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Pistons | 19c | 396.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Pistons | 3c | 396.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.